Jay Clarke vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do both players fare in second serve points? Clarke wins 40.91% on their second serve, whereas Ovcharenko secures 42.4%.
• In recent return game stats, Clarke wins 45.13% of opponents' second serve points compared to Ovcharenko's 47.4%.
• For first serve returns, Clarke registers 29.89%, just edging past Ovcharenko's 28.91%.
• Under pressure, Ovcharenko saves 50.48% of breakpoints, slightly higher than Clarke's 46.97%.
• Performance over the past year shows Clarke with a 66.67% match win rate (W/L 56/28), while Ovcharenko is close with 64.47% (W/L 49/27).
• Which surfaces favor the players? Both excel on Clay with a 68% win rate; however, Clarke struggles on Grass, and Ovcharenko on Indoor hard courts.
• Clarke is dominant at the $10K level, winning 81.25%, outperforming Ovcharenko's 70.91% at the same level.
• Given opponent quality, Clarke's average opponent rank is slightly more competitive at 412.89 compared to Ovcharenko’s 416.83.
• Deciding sets show Ovcharenko with a 55% win rate, marginally better than Clarke's 52%.
• Regarding break point conversion, Ovcharenko takes advantage 35.8% of the time versus Clarke's 34.28%.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the performance trends and statistical data, both players display strong skills on the clay surface, an area where they both have shown a 68% career win rate. This fact could prove vital depending on the surface of the upcoming match.

Recent form suggests Ovcharenko has a slight edge, with better performance on second serve points and break point conversion. Furthermore, Ovcharenko's slight advantage in saving breakpoints and winning deciding sets may contribute to a more resilient match play strategy.

Clarke’s impressive track record at the $10K event level, winning over 81% of such matches, signifies a high level of consistency, particularly against slightly higher-ranked opponents on average.

All things considered, Ovcharenko's marginally superior statistics in critical areas suggest they may have a small advantage over Clarke. Therefore, Ovcharenko is predicted to be the more likely winner of this upcoming tennis match.